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Friday, January 23, 2015

What Saudi King Abdullah's death could mean for oil prices


What Saudi King Abdullah's death could mean for oil prices
Updated by  on January 22, 2015, 8:47 p.m. ET @bradplumer brad@vox.com
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A man stands on a platform on an oil and gas terminal on January 2003 in n the Persian Gulf off of Ras Al Tanoura, Saudi Arabia.(Photo by Reza/Getty Images)
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Saudi Arabia is the world's second-largest producer of crude oil. So the news that the country's King Abdullah has died certainly has the potential to shake up global oil markets.
IN THE SHORT TERM, SAUDI OIL POLICY IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE MUCH
Already, there are signs of jitters: After Abdullah's death was announced on state television, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude jumped 2 percent, to $47 per barrel, in early trading.
One key question on everyone's mind is whether Saudi Arabia could alter its policy of keeping oil output high even as the rest of the world is oversupplied with crude. This controversial stance has helped drive global oil prices downover the last few months. But those low prices are also squeezing Saudi Arabia's budget — and the policy has attracted criticism from some members of the royal family.
In the short term, analysts say, it's unlikely we'll see a big shift in oil policy following King Abdullah's death. The newly announced king, Salman bin Abdulaziz, has explicitly backed the country's current stance.
Even so, this is a story worth keeping an eye on, particularly since Salman is already 79 years old, and the next in line, Crown Prince Muqrin, is 69. And it's wildly unclear how further succession will play out.
"In my view, we're not going to see a big change in Saudi oil policy [with King Salman]," said Bob McNally, a former White House official and now head of Rapidan Group, a Washington-based consultancy. "But I expect there will be some uncertainty and commotion in terms of who will come next."

Saudi Arabia's recent policies have helped keep oil prices low

Spot price of Brent crude as of January 5, 2015 (Joss Fong/Vox)

Spot price of Brent crude as of January 5, 2015 (Joss Fong/Vox)
To understand what's going on, we have to go back to November of last year. At the time, global oil prices were already falling due to soaring production in the United States and Canada, coupled with sagging demand in places like Europe and Asia. Basically, the world had far more oil than it needed, and prices were plummeting as a result.
WHEN SAUDI ARABIA REFUSED TO CUT BACK ON OUTPUT, OIL PRICES SLID EVEN FURTHER
That brought us to OPEC's big meeting onNovember 27. At the time, many observers wondered whether the cartel — which pumps out 40 percent of the world's oil — might lower its production in order to prop up prices. After all, countries like Iran, Iraq, and Venezuela need high oil prices to balance their budgets.
But Saudi Arabia, OPEC's largest producer, refused to cut back. Saudi officials didn't want to surrender market share. Instead, they were hoping that the decline in crude prices would throttle high-cost oil producers in the US and Canada. (It costs far more to extract oil from shale formations in Texas and North Dakota than it does to pump crude from Saudi Arabia's oil fields.)
Once Saudi Arabia announced that they would maintain output, global prices crashed even further — eventually tumbling down to their current level of below $50 per barrel. That's the reason why gasoline in the United States is now the cheapest it's been since 2009.
In the months that followed, Saudi Arabia's officials have reiterated support for this policy. In December, the country's oil minister, Ali al-Naimi, said he didn't care if prices crashed to $20 or $40 per barrel, he wasn't going to budge from his position. "It is not in the interest of OPEC producers to cut their production, whatever the price is," he said.
But Naimi's stance has been controversial among some members of the Saudi royal family. After all, the country needs oil prices at around $80 per barrel or so to balance its budget. Citigroup recently predicted that the Saudis may soon have to cut back on government spending — spending that had been put in place to tamp down on unrest after the Arab Spring. And, while the kingdom has built up $750 billion in foreign reserves to finance any deficits for now, the whole situation makes some Saudis nervous.
"The big fear, or let's say the big disaster, is that the ministry will continue withdrawing from the state financial reserves until they are totally depleted as was the case long time ago, when we were forced to borrow from abroad," wrote Prince Al Waleed bin Talal, a member of the royal family, in a letter in January. Likewise, one of Abdullah's (many) sons, an assistant minister for petroleum affairs, was reportedly not a fan of the decision to keep output high.
But through it all, King Abdullah stood behind Naimi — and his policy to maintain Saudi output. Which raises the question: What happens now that Abdullah is gone?

Why the Saudis may keep their oil policies in place

Saudi Arabia's new king, Salman Bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, pictured here in September 1, 2014 meeting with French president Francois Hollande. (Andalou Agency/Getty Images)

Saudi Arabia's new king, Salman Bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, pictured here in September 1, 2014 meeting with French president Francois Hollande. (Andalou Agency/Getty Images)
McNally, for his part, thinks it's unlikely that Saudi Arabia will shift its oil stance much — at least in the short term.
The Saudis quickly announced that the new king will be Abdullah's brother Salman bin Abdulaziz — and he appears to support the country's current policy. Back on January 6, Salman delivered the nation's "state-of-the-kingdom" address in which he said that the country would display a "firm will" even as oil prices tumbled. That was widely seen as a clear endorsement of Naimi's stance.
BACK ON JAN. 6, SALMAN PUBLICLY ENDORSED THE CURRENT OIL STANCE
"This is now state policy," McNally said. "Naimi wouldn't be freelancing on his own."
One reason that the Saudis might continue to maintain output — even though low prices are hurting their budget — is that they don't really have any other great options. If Saudi Arabia were to cut back on production, prices might stay low anyway. In that case, all that would happen is that the Saudis would lose market share to competitors like Iran or Iraq. (Indeed, this is basically what happened when Saudi Arabia cut back on production in the early 1980s in a failed attempt to stop prices from crashing.)
That all said, any change in leadership always creates some uncertainty — especially since the new king Salman is already 79 and reportedly in poor health himself. The next in line, Crown Prince Muqrin, is 69. And no one really knows how the line of succession will actually play out in the future. So it's entirely possible that further unexpected changes could be on the way.

Further reading

Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah is dead. He left his successors with a lot of problems.













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Thursday, January 22, 2015

Lloyd’s List PR Fanfair Saluting Nazi named mega-ship The Pieter Schelte

Lloyd’s List PR Fanfair Saluting Nazi named mega-ship The Pieter Schelte

Jan 22nd, 2015
by John Donovan. 
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THIS ARTICLE, INCLUDING THE SCREENSHOTS, WAS SUPPLIED IN ADVANCE OF PUBLICATION TO LLOYD’S LIST AND ALLSEAS WITH THE INVITATION TO CORRECT ANY INACCURATE INFORMATION. IT FOLLOWS THAT BOTH FIRMS HAD THE OPPORTUNITY TO SEEK AN INJUNCTION TO PREVENT PUBLICATION. 

Screen Shot 2015-01-13 at 16.45.27
Screen Shot 2015-01-20 at 14.43.40By John Donovan
The above screenshot is from the front cover of the January 2015 edition of Horizons Magazine published by Lloyd’s Register. The front page lead story, is a multipage PR extravaganza trumpeting the key involvement of Lloyd’s Register in the creation and building of the Pieter Schelte, “the world’s largest-ever ship.”
The one thing that spoils the celebration about the gigantic vessel, which arrived in Rotterdam days ago, is that it is named in honour of a senior Waffen SS Nazi officer jailed for war crimes, Pieter Schelte Heerema.
According to one report, after gaining promotion in the Waffen SS, he was responsible for forcibly resettling unemployed Dutch workers into areas of Eastern Europe, where many died.
After release from prison, given the stigma attached to his name, Pieter Schelte prudently retreated to Venezuela, where according to a recent Forbes article, he allegedly helped German war criminals escape Allied justice.
Despite all of this toxic historical baggage, the founder of Allseas, the company that owns The Pieter Schelte, Dutchman Edward Heerema, named the giant ship after his father.
Like many other multinationals involved with The Pieter Schelte project, including the oil company Shell (one of its first customers), and financial backers, ABN Amro, ING, RBS and NIBC, Lloyd’s Register has long known about the dark side of the name, but has remained silent on the toxic issue.
Lloyd’s Register knew of his Nazi pedigree when commissioning, approving and publishing the above PR article, rejoicing in its close connection with the Nazi named ship. The name of the ship is mentioned 15 times in the overall feature, comprising the front page, the contents page and the article pages.
The explanation for the origin of the name fails to reveal the Nazi aspect:
“The 382-metre-long, 123.75-metre- wide, 403,342gt installation/ decommissioning and pipelay vessel is a twin-hulled vessel named after the offshore pioneer Pieter Schelte Heerema, father of the Swiss-based Allseas Group’s owner Edward Heerema.”
Classic PR spin. Some might describe it as a cover-up. “Offshore pioneer” is a much more appealing description than a Waffen SS Nazi officer jailed for war crimes.
Although numerous articles about the controversy have been published since 2007, Lloyd’s Register neglected to disclose what it knew about the astonishing background of the man being honoured in such a prominent way – having the biggest ship in the world named after him.  This was not an individual of high distinction, nor a member of royalty, or a famous historical figure of high regard, but instead, a former officer from the murderous Waffen SS.  
The name is a mark of distinction, but of the worst possible kind. Who would want to Captain a vessel with such a distasteful name? Who would want to be a member of its crew? Certainly no one of  Jewish descent, or people who are superstitious and might view the Nazi SS name, with all its evil connotations, as being a bad omen attached to the ship. 
No wonder Lloyd’s Register did not openly disclose the stigma attached to the Nazi linked name.
All of the huge businesses associated with Allseas in the Pieter Schelte project, Royal Dutch Shell, bankers and Lloyd’s Register, have uniformly turned a blind eye to the Nazi linked name. (Shell and its Nazi boss, Sir Henri Deterding, financially supported Hitler and the Nazi party for several years in the run up to World War 2.)
On 11 January 2015, I sent an email to Richard Sadler, the Chief Executive Officer of Lloyd’s Register, an institution of global renown founded in 1760.
I received a response the following day on his behalf from the Group Legal Director of Lloyd’s Register, Mr Jim Harrison.
This is what he said in relation to the naming of the vessel.
The role of Lloyd’s Register in relation to this vessel is to provide our technical classification and statutory plan approval, survey and certification services to help ensure the safety of the vessel and its work. We play no part in the choice of, or the approval of, the name of the vessel which is a matter to be decided between the owner and the vessel’s national ship registry which is Panama in this case.
Extracts from my reply:
I note there is no denial that Lloyd’s Register has been well aware for a long time about the controversy surrounding the name.
Would Lloyd’s Register have remained silent and continued with the money spinning contract on the same grounds you have quoted, if the name had been Adolf Hitler? I think we both know the answer.
Personally, I think it is appalling that two global organisations – Lloyd’s Register and Royal Dutch Shell, have allowed a third, Allseas, to foist this affront to decency and the memory of all who perished at the hands of the Nazis.
Whether due to a lack of scruples, or extremely bad judgement, Lloyd’s Register is actively glorifying the project on your website and elsewhere, despite knowing that it is named after a Nazi War Criminal.
Mr Harrison ignored my question to Mr Sadler asking if Lloyd’s Register had raised the issue with Allseas or its owner, Dutchman Edward Heerema, about the wisdom of naming the ship after his father.
The controversy surrounding the Nazi linked name has not just been the subject of news articles since 2007, but was also the subject of a cross examination in a recent extraordinary trial and when I say extraordinary, that description, in this case, is no exaggeration.
The Pieter Schelte and its controversial name were all part of the case before the court. The judge, Mr Justice Peter Smith, thought the Nazi linked name to be of sufficient significance to include extracts from a relevant cross-examination in his judgement dated 26 June 2014 .
Some brief extracts from the cross-examination included in the Judgement:
MR JUSTICE PETER SMITH: He was in the Dutch SS, was he?
A. No, he was in the German SS.
MR JUSTICE PETER SMITH: The German SS,
MR TAGER: He joined the German SS, And then he left the SS you say in the middle of the war?
A. I don’t know the exact time but that is .. he changed his mind, that is ..
MR JUSTICE PETER SMITH: I didn’t know you could leave the SS, I thought it was a job for life.
A. I have no comment on that, my Lord.
MR JUSTICE PETER SMITH: Was he in the Waffen SS or the non-Waffen SS? Do you know?
A. I do not know that. 
MR TAGER: My Lord, some might regard that as a quibble. He was in the SS. And, after the war, he went to Argentina, didn’t he?
A. He went to South America, I think he went to Venezuela.
Q. Venezuela, I’m so sorry, With the help of the Vatican?
Q: And that is why the name of the ship is very controversial isn’t it? They’re not many ships afloat on the seas named after a former member of the SS, are there?
A. No.
Please see paragraph 33 onward of the High Court Judgement – link below. I took the trouble of making the entire judgement available online on a searchable basis.
Other pages from the Judgement provide the judges assessment of Mr Edward Heerema and the competence and gullibility of named Allseas directors. One short-duration Allseas director, Mr Merek Rejniak, was held by the Judge to be one of  the fraudsters responsible for the £100 million scam perpetrated on Allseas.
I think most ordinary people, if they read the information contained in the court documents and via the links below, might share my assessment of Mr Heerema as an arrogant sinister man, apparently normally protected when travelling in his home country by a team of four bodyguards, who employs a security manager (see below) and engages in shady financial machinations.
Leo van Wezel, a former police detective, has been the security manager of Allseas since 1995. It is fair to say that he was ridiculed by the Judge on the basis of his testimony, including his remarks about the notorious American security firm, Blackwater and the US government. His ethics and professionalism were also drawn into question as was the reliability of his testimony. The judge pointed out that Mr Wezel was given evidence by one of the fraudsters to hide from a UK Metropolitan police unit (which specialises in money laundering cases). He removed that evidence from the UK jurisdiction.  It ended up in the hands of solicitors overseas acting for his employer, Allseas.  The judge remarked that it was surprising conduct for a former police officer.
The judge rightly criticised Allseas attitude to the UK police and described it as “another example of the inadequacy of the evidence of Allseas in this case.”
It was the greed of Edward Heerema and his long-time fellow directors, Messrs Kooger and Visser, who the judge described as “unbelievably inept and naive,” that made them dupes in an elaborate pantomime of a scam in which the Pope, The Vatican, The Queen of England, The US Federal Reserve Bank, the UN, and others, were unwitting players. The judge ruled that Messrs Kooger and Visser were in breach of their duties as Allseas directors to the extent that it passed the threshold of potentially constituting contributory negligence in the £12 million loss to the company as a result of the scam – a loss that would have been £100 million if not for the timely determined intervention of the UK police and the action the police took despite opposition and threats from Allseas.
Extract from paragraph 29 of the judgement:
At the end the loss was confined to €12m not because of anything the Claimants did but because of the efforts of the Metropolitan Police who protected the balance of the monies in the Notable account despite the protests on the part of Allseas. They actually threatened the Metropolitan Police with claims for damages if the monies were not released.
Extract from paragraph 331:
Equally, but for the intervention of the Metropolitan Police I have no doubt that the balance of the £88m would have disappeared…
Many of the ingredients here for a good Bond movie. Subterfuge, intrigue, a huge sum of cash, cops, villains, a mysterious tycoon, court room drama, a prominent Nazi, international locations. Wonder who should play Mr Big?
I fully acknowledge that any degree of opprobrium or shame on the part of Lloyd’s Register for the vessel being allowed to sail under the name of The Pieter Schelte is minimal compared with that of its owner. However, Lloyd’s Register had the opportunity to raise the matter and even withdraw from the project at any stage after becoming aware of the Nazi linked name, but failed to to so and was therefore acquiescent to that extent.
Lloyd’s Register would not, under any circumstances, have anything to do with a huge new ship if it was named Adolf Hitler, but turned a blind eye to a less prominent, but still well known and detested Nazi.
I would be amazed if Lloyd’s Register had not, at some time, considered – probably with some trepidation – the possibility of a firestorm of negative publicity eventually arising from the Nazi name. If so, Lloyd’s Register still continued its close association with The Pieter Schelte project despite that obvious possibility.
I sincerely think that Lloyd’s Register should disassociate itself from the project unless this salute to a WAFFEN SS Nazi is dropped. It is offensive, particularly at this sensitive time, as pointed out by Eamonn Fingleton in his most recent Forbes article on the subject: After Charlie Hebdo, An Acute “PR Dilemma” For Big Oil.
RELATED INFORMATION
Google translation of an fd.nl article updated on 25 December 2014 (which contains a link to the source article in Dutch).
Google translation of a Quote Magazine article dated 18 December 2007: HEEREMA MISTREATED IN DUBAI
RELATED ENGLISH LANGUAGE PUBLICATIONS – OLDEST FIRST 
Dutch outcry over naming giant ship after Nazi: USATODAY/ASSOCIATED PRESS 11 July 2008
Nazi name row torpedoes ship launch: Daily Express 07 Nov 2008
JEWS UPSET About Naming Of Giant Ship: 11 Nov 2008 TheState.com South Carolina
Should Ireland oppose insult to jews: Ireland.ie 28 June 2009
ALLSEAS PRESS RELEASE Friday 2 August 2013
Film of Royal Dutch Shell founder Sir Henri Deterding giving a Nazi salute: Article published 23 June 2014
High Court Judgement (INVOLVING EDWARD HEEREMA/ALLSEA’S DIRECTORS:  26 June 2014
SCREENSHOT BELOW FROM SHELL.COM WEBSITE 16 JAN 2015 WEBPAGE HEADING: News and media for the Brent Decommissioning project.Screen Shot 2015-01-16 at 21.40.10
Posted in: Adolf Hitler, Allseas, Germany, GoogleNews, John Donovan, Litigation, Oil,Pieter Schelte, Royal Dutch Shell Nazi Secrets, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Shell.

Tagged:  ·  ·  · You are here Stakes are too high with Arctic drilling, and Shell isn’t ready

Jan 22nd, 2015
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2014-08-06 at 09.25.26From an article by Lois Epstein published 21 Jan 2015 by Alaska Dispatch News

Extracts
Two years ago on New Year’s Eve, Shell’s Kulluk Arctic offshore drilling rig grounded near Kodiak Island. It was an industrial calamity heard around the world, including a cover story in the Jan. 4 issue of The New York Times magazine.
Between Shell’s 2012 offshore drilling and mobilization problems and the federal government’s difficulties in overseeing Arctic Ocean leasing as discussed below — not to mention the recent dramatic drop in the price of oil — it is becoming increasingly clear that Arctic Ocean drilling faces insurmountable hurdles, especially in 2015.
As is clear from the grounding of the Kulluk, moving drilling rigs and other infrastructure to and from the Arctic Ocean without incident is both complex and critical to drilling success. Even though many of these mobilization risks are under the U.S. Coast Guard’s jurisdiction, they need to be disclosed and quantified by the Interior Department. Despite Shell’s 2012 debacle, the department did not sufficiently address mobilization risks.
Posted in: Alaska, Arctic, Beaufort Sea, Chukchi Sea, Environment, Oil, Oil Spill,Pollution, Royal Dutch Shell Plc.
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SHELL CIRCUMVENTED RA 7641

SYNDICATED ESTAFA


MY QUEST FOR SWINDLED 

RETIREMENT PAY BY SHELL



SWINDLING ITO, SYNDICATED ESTAFA


HOT PURSUIT
DUTY OF LAW ENFORCEMENT ENTITIES


SHELL SWINDLING OF RETIREMENT PAY 5TH YEAR

1001counts
SEE BELOW FOR THE 1001ST   TIME THE REITERATION OF DEMAND PAYMENT OF RETIREMENT PAY WHICH SHELL REFUSED TO HONOR IN THE PRESENCE AND DEEMED APPROVAL OF THE HONORABLE MAGISTRATES OF THE SUPREME COURT OF THE PHILIPPINES

GEUS_15MAR16_66th FOLLOW UP_REITERATION

OF DEMAND  PAYMENT OF RETIREMENT PAY
Dishonest scales are an abomination to the Lord, but a just weight is His delight... Proverbs Chapter 11  v. 1
Retirement Pay Law circumvented by Shell subject to penal provision provided for by Article 288 of the Labor Code of the Philippines.





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