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Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Crude at $49: The New Reality for Big Oil Companies

Crude at $49: The New Reality for Big Oil Companies

Jan 28th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
1 comment

Screen Shot 2014-02-18 at 18.34.00FROM BLOOMBERG

Crude at $49: The New Reality for Big Oil Companies

(Bloomberg) — Financial results from a fourth quarter that saw the collapse of the crude market will provide a window into how the world’s biggest oil companies are adjusting to a new reality of slowing growth and low prices.
Oil that topped $115 a barrel as recently as June has been trading below $50 a barrel since the first week of the year, portending a bleak 2015 for the world’s five so-called supermajors — Exxon Mobil Corp., Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Chevron Corp., Total SA and BP Plc. The companies, whose businesses combine oil and natural gas exploration with refining and chemical manufacturing, have historically been among the most resilient players during down cycles.
This could be the oil bust that breaks that pattern. 
“The issue for this group of companies is they don’t have bulletproof business models,” said Brian Hennessey, who helps manage $1.4 billion at Alpine Woods Capital Investors LLC in Purchase, New York. A 57 percent plunge in the price of oil since June “really tests your convictions.”
The industry’s stark change in fortune set off panic from corporate board rooms to drill-rig floors as companies that pump almost one-tenth of the world’s crude scramble to tighten budgets and preserve cash for dividends, buybacks and capital projects too far along to abandon.
BP froze wages, Chevron delayed its 2015 drilling budget and Shell canceled a $6.5 billion Persian Gulf investment; layoffs industrywide have topped 30,000, enough to fill almost every seat in Madison Square Garden twice.

Searching Clues

Investors will be sifting the data from the fourth quarter for clues to how long the current slump will last. Momentum from $109 a barrel oil during the first half of the year helped carry producers through the last three months, when the price of Brent, the benchmark used by most of the world, averaged $77.07 — well above the current price of $49.
The effects of lower prices will still take their toll as all except Shell are forecast to report earnings declines compared with the fourth quarter of 2013. Shell profits are expected to rise compared with unusually ugly results the year before.
Worldwide crude supplies appear likely to exceed demand for the rest of the year and beyond, even as the lowest oil prices since 2009 discourage new developments in high-cost regions such as Canada’s oil sands, said Paul Sankey, an analyst at Wolfe Research in New York. That would postpone any rebound in share prices of the five biggest oil majors, which have tumbled by an average of 8.1 percent since crude prices began to slide in June.

‘Dangerous’ Equities

That compares with a 28 percent decline in a Standard & Poors index of 18 smaller U.S. oil and gas producers.
“Buying oil equities here would be dangerous,” Sankey said in a Jan. 27 note to clients. “Our research suggests that the consensus view that oil markets will recover by the second half of 2015 may well be optimistic.”
The price collapse hobbles a segment of the industry that had already been struggling with years of soaring construction costs, project delays, missed output targets and depressed returns from refining crude into fuels, said Anish Kapadia, an analyst at Tudor Pickering Holt & Co. Aside from steady dividend payouts, the biggest oil companies offer no compelling reason to invest, he said.
“We see little to differentiate between the supermajors as no-growth yield plays,” Kapadia said in a note to clients.

Shell Increase

Shell kicks off the earnings season for the biggest oil companies on Jan. 29. The Hague-based company is expected to report profit, excluding special items and inventory changes, of $4.18 billion, based on the average of seven estimates from analysts in a Bloomberg survey. That would represent a 44 percent increase from a year earlier, when faltering production from wells and escalating costs trimmed earnings to a four-year low.
Chevron on Jan. 30 is expected to post fourth-quarter net income, excluding one-time gains and losses, of $3.17 billion, based on the average of nine analysts’ estimates. That would be a 36 percent year-over-year decline.
Exxon is next up when it reports results on Feb. 2. The Irving, Texas-based producer probably reaped $5.85 billion in net income, excluding one-time items, according to the average of 11 estimates from analysts. That would represent a 30 percent decline from a year earlier.
BP is expected to report profit of $1.98 billion, excluding one-time items and inventory changes, when it posts results on Feb. 3. That would compare with $2.81 billion during the final three months of 2013.

Price Sensitive

Total will round out the season on Feb. 12, when the French oil giant is expected to report an 11 percent decline in fourth-quarter net income to 2.19 billion euros ($2.49 billion).
As cash flows shrink this year, dividend protection will take precedence over finding new oil fields or repurchasing shares. The supermajors are exquisitely sensitive to price fluctuations; for example, every $10 decline in the oil price slashes $2.84 billion from Exxon’s annual cash flow, according to Barclays Plc. For Chevron, which is more dependent on crude than its larger U.S. rival, the cut is $3.85 billion.
The supermajors “are going to hunker down to protect the dividend,” Iain Reid, an analyst at BMO Capital Markets, said in a telephone interview. “The dividend will stay safe for two years.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Joe Carroll in Chicago atjcarroll8@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Susan Warren at susanwarren@bloomberg.net
Posted in: Bloomberg, BP, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Oil Prices, Royal Dutch Shell Plc,Shell, Total.
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Obama moves to block development in 9.8 million acres of Arctic Ocean

Obama moves to block development in 9.8 million acres of Arctic Ocean

Jan 28th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-01-27 at 23.35.58
Screen Shot 2014-08-06 at 09.25.26Krestia DeGeorge,Nathaniel Herz: January 27, 2015
Citing biodiversity and Alaska Native subsistence whaling, the Obama administration moved to block development in 9.8 million acres within the Beaufort and Chukchi seas as part of a new five-year outer continental shelf oil and gas leasing program, the draft of which was released Tuesday morning by theDepartment of the Interior.
The announcement came two days after President Barack Obama said he planned to ask Congress to declare much of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Northeast Alaska as wilderness, including the possibly oil-and-gas-rich coastal plain — and a month after the president closed waters in and around Bristol Bay to oil and gas development.
Those moves come at a time of increased anxiety within Alaska over the future of the state’s oil and gas industry, as well as the impact falling oil prices have on the state’s budget.
Some of the leases sold in the 2008 sale, including leases acquired byRoyal Dutch Shell, are just outside the Hanna Shoal exclusion area.
“There’s nothing we’re announcing today that impacts Shell’s plans,” Jewell said at  Tuesday morning press conference. “They have valid existing leases.”
Shell has struggled with a drilling program in those leases. A lawsuit challenged how the leases were awarded, and missteps — including thegrounding of the drill rig Kulluk and thecriminal conviction ofShell drilling contractor Noble Drilling — also hurt the company’s efforts.
In a statement, Shell did not comment on whether today’s news affects it efforts to continue drilling in the U.S. Arctic Ocean, but it appears committed to moving forward.
The company looked ahead to future decisions that need to happen for it to complete drilling in the potentially oil-rich Burger prospect in the Chukchi Sea, about 70 miles northwest of the Arctic village of Wainwright.
“As for Alaska, our focus remains the Chukchi leases we have and the potential for a future drilling program,” a statement from Shell said.
For that to happen, progress is needed in a number of areas, including the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management completing the Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement for Lease Sale 193, involving the sale in 2008 when Shell spent about $2 billion to acquire leases.
The company also needs the “necessary permits” as well as “complete confidence that we can execute a program safely and responsibly.”
A Shell spokesman would not comment on how the plunge in low oil prices will affect the costly project.
As for the national sum of Jewell’s announcement on Tuesday, Shell said the decision affecting offshore development a is “positive recognition” that oil and gas development will continue playing an important role off the nation’s coasts. But the company said it was disappointed in Jewell’s decision to exclude promising acreage in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
Posted in: Alaska, Arctic, Beaufort Sea, Chukchi Sea, Environment, Litigation, Oil Prices, Oil Spill, Pollution, President Obama, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Shell, United States.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015

U.S. Seen Limiting Oil Drilling in Arctic, May Open Atlantic

U.S. Seen Limiting Oil Drilling in Arctic, May Open Atlantic

Jan 27th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-01-27 at 19.17.15
26 JAN 2015
(Bloomberg) — The U.S. Interior Department will lay a framework as soon as Tuesday for oil exploration in the nation’s coastal waters in a five-year plan that is expected to withdraw areas off Alaska while possibly adding parts of the Atlantic.
Republican Lisa Murkowski said the head of the offshore energy office told her the agency will place areas of the energy-rich U.S. Arctic off limits. Those areas had been previously deferred from new leasing. Current leases in the Arctic, such as those held by Royal Dutch Shell Plc, won’t be affected.
“Maybe they’ve changed their minds after listening to the outrage from us. We’ll see,” Murkowski, the chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, told reporters Monday.
Jessica Kershaw, an Interior Department spokeswoman, didn’t respond to an e-mail asking about Murkowski’s comments.
The agency’s proposed plan will control leasing in the Outer Continental Shelf, such as the Gulf of Mexico and Arctic Ocean. The plan may open some areas in the Atlantic for the first time, especially off Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina, where governors and many lawmakers support drilling.
“We have the sense that the Atlantic would be in there, and we’ll have to fight to get it out,” said Jacqueline Savitz, vice president of the environmental group Oceana. “If it’s in the plan, you can kiss your beaches goodbye.”
She said it’s not clear what parts of the Atlantic would be included.
Budget Gap
The administration of President Barack Obama provoked a furious backlash from Alaska’s political leaders after first pushing Congress to declare the disputed Arctic National Wildlife Refuge as a wilderness area, then disclosing plans to curtail future Arctic drilling.
Alaska’s leaders are struggling with a budget gap created by a plunge in state oil production and the price of oil. Governor Bill Walker said he is considering “aggressive options” against Interior’s proposal.
Walker said Interior won’t withdraw the leases held by Shell, which had mishaps in 2012 while trying to explore in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas. Both Shell and ConocoPhillips put their exploration plans in those seas on hold in 2014. They must decide soon whether to try again this year.
The announcement would come as a decline in global oil prices has drillers cutting back on production. West Texas Intermediate for March delivery fell 44 cents to close at $45.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was the lowest settlement since March 11, 2009.
Oil rigs have dropped by an unprecedented 258 in seven weeks, threatening to end the surge in domestic oil production that has turned the U.S. into the world’s largest fuel exporter.
Obama announced Dec. 16 he was blocking the leasing parts of Bristol Bay, Alaska, for oil and gas exploration and production.
To contact the reporters on this story: Mark Drajem in Washington atmdrajem@bloomberg.net; Jim Snyder in Washington atjsnyder24@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jon Morgan atjmorgan97@bloomberg.net Steve Geimann
RELATED

Stakes are too high with Arctic drilling, and Shell isn’t ready

Posted in: Alaska, Arctic, Beaufort Sea, Bloomberg, Chukchi Sea, Conoco Phillips,Environment, Oil Prices, Oil Spill, Pollution, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, United States.
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Nazi rat lines and Pieter Schelte Heerema

Nazi rat lines and Pieter Schelte Heerema

Jan 27th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-01-27 at 13.52.31

by Ton Biesemaat, Dutch investigative journalist

…there is overwhelming proof that Pieter Schelte Heerema remained a staunch Nazi until his death. Yet the world does not seem to care when one of the largest ships is named after this man 

Screen Shot 2015-01-27 at 14.10.42There is a lot of media noise about one of the world’s largest ships, which is now in its finishing building stage in the port of Rotterdam. The ship is named Pieter Schelte after his father by the owner of the Allseas company Edward Heerema. So far so good. Allseas is an international player in the offshore industry and the Pieter Schelte will be used for pipe laying on the seabed and decommisioning of obsolete oil and gas platforms in for example the North Sea and Gulf of Mexico. However Jewish organisations are angry because the ship is named after a Dutch Nazi and SS-officer who was vehemently anti-Semitic (1).
The defense of Allseas is that Pieter Schelte Heerema was an excellent maritime engineer and pioneer of the offshore industry and that’s why the mega-ship is named after this captain of industry. Besides that, the public relations machine of Allseas says with automated response: Pieter Schelte Heerema switched sides in the last part of the Second World War. They even get some assistance of a Dutch historian who by accident wrongly stated: ‘… any suggestions that he helped Nazis to escape to South America are untrue.’ (2) David Barnouw, formerly a Dutch historian of the respected NIOD (Netherlands Institute for War Documentation), refers to the so called Nazi rat lines, escape routes after the end of the war for Nazi’s to South America and that Pieter Schelte Heerema played no role in it. However this is historically inaccurate. During research into the life of Heerema, I found several sources who stated that he played in Venezuela an important role in these rat lines.
First we have to address the defense of Allseas that Heerema switched sides during the last part of the occupation of the Germans in The Netherlands. He did indeed have contact with a resistance group. However this resistance group (3) was in reality not a resistance group, but a bunch of Nazi collaborators. Heerema travelled in 1944 with the help of this group to neutral Switzerland. He tried to contact the Dutch government in exile in London but they did not trust him. So he stayed in Switzerland until the end of the war. Research into his time in Switzerland revealed that in his claimed status as a refugee, he had contact with Swiss lawyers. This adds to the rumours that he was perhaps in some way organising the funds of Dutch Nazi-companies in which he was involved, for example the Nederlandsche Oost Compagnie(4).
After the end of the war, Heerema returned to The Netherlands protected by influential friends (5) and the so-called resistance group. He was only stripped of his nationality because he had joined the Waffen SS. Then he was helped to make his way out to Venezuela – Lake Maracaibo, where he had very good contacts because he had lived and worked there until the Germans invaded The Netherlands in May 1940. (As a fanatical Nazi he had returned home in 1940 to join in ‘the great struggle against the Jews and communists’ of a Nazi led Holland joining the Reich.)
When Heerema returned to Venezuela after the war, he started working with his own companies for the big oil companies operating in Lake Maracaibo. It is here that he played his role in the rat lines. In the Heerema-files in the Dutch National Archives, there is a statement of a Dutch worker for Heerema (6) in Venezuela, who escaped to the Dutch Antilles when he felt threatened by Heerema. He says that while working for Heerema, he encountered many Germans, Russians, Lithuanians, Hungarians etc. with a SS-rune sign under their arm pits. According to this Dutch worker, an American ship with 1500 people on board arrived in May/June 1947 from the German port of Breemen and all these people began work in the oil industry in Maracaibo. This is only one source but while carrying out further research I found several other sources of Dutch SS-men (7) who fled to Venezuela with the assistance of Pieter Schelte Heerema. They were members of the Dutch Waffen SS-division Westland who fought on the eastern front or members of the Landwacht, another armed SS-group who carried out a reign of terror in the occupied Netherlands. Heerema employed these men and even nursed them back to health by paying for example for their stay in a hotel in the clean air of the Andes of Venezuela. He was already in contact with some of these Dutch Waffen SS when they were imprisoned in The Netherlands.
So Pieter Schelte Heerema was involved in the Nazi rat lines to South America. Based on several other facts it is accurate to say that he stayed a diehard Nazi until his death. He named his ships after Germanic gods, he was involved in a bid to obtain the Hitler-diaries which later turned to be forgeries.(8)
Interestingly, *Gerrit A. Wagner of Royal Dutch Shell, praised this offshore pioneer during the funeral of Heerema, which was also attended by the prominent neo-Nazi figure Florrie Rost van Tonningen, widow of the Dutch Nazi-leader Meinoud Rost van Tonningen (9).
Hence, there is overwhelming proof that Pieter Schelte Heerema remained a staunch Nazi until his death. Yet the world does not seem to care when one of the largest ships is named after this man (10).
FOOTNOTES
(1) He was a member of a small Dutch Nazi-party called NSNAP led by major Kruyt. Quite interesting is that another member of this small party was Anton Schouten, who later became private secretary of the Hitler-backer and leader of the Royal Dutch Shell Group, Sir Henry Deterding. Heerema was for some time head of the Amsterdam-section of the NSNAP. During the Second World War Heerema had an intimate affair with the close friend of Heinrich Himmler, head of the SS, Julia Op ten Noort. Heerema was also in contact with the leader of the SS industry and concentration camps, Oswald Pohl.
(3) Called Geheime Dienst Nederland Groep Vogel led by Egbert Nieuwenhuis a former police officer. This group had good contacts with the Nazi occupiers. After the war they were involved in the rat lines from The Netherlands so Dutch Nazi’s could escape via Spain to South America. See files in the National Archives The Hague, among them the Heerema-files and investigations into several members of this group with fascist links.
(4) The Nederlandsche Oost Compagnie of which Pieter Scheltema was a director started to colonise Nazi-occupied Eastern Europe. The company was only dissolved in the early sixties.
(5) Among them the influential General Koot, a friend of Prince Bernhard of The Netherlands. He was a former member of the Nazi party and an SS-man until his marriage with princess and later Queen Juliana. Dutch cabinet minister Ringers was another backer of Heerema.
(6) 22th of March 1948 Johan Kuipers statement to the police of Willemstad Dutch Antilles.
(7) Among them Klaas P., Henk S. and Hans S. in the files which deals with the special courts who decided over the fate – after the occupation of The Netherlands- of collaborators, traitors, Nazi-sympathisers, Dutch volunteers of the Waffen SS and so on. All in the National Archives in The Hague. Exact locations in the archives known by the author. There is in Lake Maracaibo, according to a file related to the Edward Heerema/Allseas scam with 100 million Euro (Paul Sultana/Marek Rejniak-affair), also a possible relation between the undercover Estonian SS officer Harry Männil and Heerema in Venezuela after the end of the war. According to the Simon Wiesenthal Center, Männil was involved in war crimes, murdering 100 Jews personally and rounding up thousands of others.
(8) Heerema hoped to prove Hitler did not know about the extermination of the Jews. This is the so called Stern-affair.
(9) Edward Heerema had contact with prominent figures of the neo-Nazi scene. Edward Heerema was accused by Dutch antifascist group FOK of supporting the neonazi group Nederlandse Volksunie (Trouw news paper 17th of October 1985). Edward Heerema denied that he provided a loan to this group (NRC newspaper 14th of October 1985). However he admitted meeting the neo-Nazi leader Joop Glimmerveen. According to the Flemish magazine Humo, Edward Heerema was involved in supporting the extreme right wing magazine Topics (Humo 10th of July 1986).
Screen Shot 2015-01-27 at 14.53.08(10) The logo of the Heerema Group looks a lot like the flag of the Third Reich – can one see this in the Allseas logo SS-runes? Or is the author now overheating because of his involvement?
*Gerrit A. Wagner was Group Chairman of the Committee of Royal Dutch Shell Group Managing Directors and later Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Royal Dutch until his retirement in 1987.
Screen Shot 2015-01-27 at 15.16.56
Gerrit A. Wagner is the person standing in the centre. RED TEXT: After stepping down as chairman of the CMD in 1977, Wagner immediately became chairman of the supervisory board of Royal Dutch, where he served until 1987. Wagner is seen here chairing two AGM’s of Royal Dutch, left with Van Wachem as President, and right with De Bruyne as president.
Posted in: Allseas, Business Principles, Gulf of Mexico, Pieter Schelte, Royal Dutch Shell Nazi Secrets, Royal Dutch Shell Plc.
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SHELL CIRCUMVENTED RA 7641

SYNDICATED ESTAFA


MY QUEST FOR SWINDLED 

RETIREMENT PAY BY SHELL



SWINDLING ITO, SYNDICATED ESTAFA


HOT PURSUIT
DUTY OF LAW ENFORCEMENT ENTITIES


SHELL SWINDLING OF RETIREMENT PAY 5TH YEAR

1001counts
SEE BELOW FOR THE 1001ST   TIME THE REITERATION OF DEMAND PAYMENT OF RETIREMENT PAY WHICH SHELL REFUSED TO HONOR IN THE PRESENCE AND DEEMED APPROVAL OF THE HONORABLE MAGISTRATES OF THE SUPREME COURT OF THE PHILIPPINES

GEUS_15MAR16_66th FOLLOW UP_REITERATION

OF DEMAND  PAYMENT OF RETIREMENT PAY
Dishonest scales are an abomination to the Lord, but a just weight is His delight... Proverbs Chapter 11  v. 1
Retirement Pay Law circumvented by Shell subject to penal provision provided for by Article 288 of the Labor Code of the Philippines.





CONTENTS

.ENTERTAINMENT (4) 10 CCR § 2695.5 (1) 18DEC15 (112) 1A_MEDIA (8) 2014 CHRISTMAS MESSAGE (1) 2015 Miss Universe (1) 2016 SONA (1) 2020 EXCLUSION (1) 4TH OF JULY (1) abante clipping (1) ABOLITION OF THE COURT OF APPEALS (1) ABRAHAM LINCOLN (1) ABS-CBN (5) ABS-CBN NEWS (6) ABSOLUTE PARDON (1) ABU SAYAFF GROUP (2) ABUSE OF JURISDICTION (1) ACADEMIC FREEDOM (1) ACCRA (19) ACE VEDA (2) ACKNOWLEDGMENT OF EMAIL RECEIPT (2) aclu (3) AIRPORT HACKS (1) AIRWAVES (1) AIZA SEGUERRA (1) ALAN PETER CAYETANO (4) ALBAYALDE (8) ALBERTO ROMULO (1) ALDEN AND MAINE (1) Alfred Clayton (55) ALLEGATIONS OF MISCONDUCT (4) ALTERNET (6) ALVAREZ (1) ALVIN CUDIA (2) ALYAS BIKOY (1) AMADO VALDEZ (1) ANARCHY (1) ANDRES BONIFACIO (2) ANGEL LAZARO (1) ANGELO REYES (1) ANNEX 5 (5) ANNUAL REMINDERS (1) ANTHONY TABERNA . 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