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Monday, March 30, 2015

How Shell, BP, And Total SA, Can Profit From The Oil Price Crash

How Shell, BP, And Total SA, Can Profit From The Oil Price Crash

Mar 30th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 15.47.53
By: MICHEAL KAUFMAN: Published: Mar 30, 2015 at 9:26 am EST
Despite largely unfavorable movement in crude oil price during the recent months, some of Europe’s biggest oil companies are finding support from trading desks as they face a prolonged slump, which has seen oil price hit six-year lows.
In the three years before the summer of 2014, crude oil price had been averaging over $100 per barrel. However, oil price have crashed 50% since then, owing to record-high US oil production levels, coupled with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ reluctance to cut output. This led to a supply glut in global oil markets.
West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for May delivery are currently trading at $48.87 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures for similar settlement date are trading at $56.41 per barrel. The recent weakness in oil price is reflected in the exceptionally poor performance of the United States Oil Fund LP (ETF) (NYSE:USO) as the exchange traded fund has lost over 53% in the last 12 months.
Major oil companies from across the world have felt the effects of the fall in oil price, as squeezed profit margins and falling sales have translated into decreased profitability and negative share price drop. Amid the unfavorable business environment, large positions in oil trading could save face for major companies that have otherwise struggled during the recent months.
Royal Dutch Shell plc (ADR) (NYSE:RDS.A), BP plc (ADR) (NYSE:BP), and Total SA (ADR) (NYSE:TOT) – the European trio of oil companies known for their oil exploration and production activities – have been the major players in oil trading. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, the amount of crude oil and refined products traded by the three oil companies would suffice to serve the oil consumption needs of Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Netherlands, Japan, and India combined.
Their involvement and influence in the commodities trading market could result in huge gains during the current year as falling crude oil price allows them the opportunity to earn profits by buying oil at low price level, storing it, and selling in the future when the price makes it hugely-anticipated rebound. Increased volatility in price, while unsupportive for upstream and downstream activities, generally presents an opportunity for trading gains to be made.
According to Bloomberg, BP’s financial results implied a trading profit of $500 million during the first quarter of fiscal year 2009 (1QFY09), whereas its total adjusted income during the quarter was $2.38 billion. Gains from trading constituted more than 20% of its profitability at a time when oil price was low, following the financial crisis in the latter part of 2008. As oil companies are reluctant to post the results from trading activities, BP’s revelation during 2009 hints at how supportive trading gains could prove to be in a low-price environment, when profits from exploration and production activities take a beating.
Without explicitly posting results from trading activities, BP and Shell have hinted at the strength of their trading business. Last month, when BP posted 4QFY14 results, CFO Brian Gilvary said: “Improved result from supply and trading” has helped the company. Similar statements have been issued by Shell CFO Simon Henry when he spoke about the company’s profitability following the release of quarterly results on January 29. He said: “We are in a very strong commodity trading position,” while adding that the company’s ability to benefit from the volatility in oil price could go some way to cushioning the firm from the effects of low oil price.
Profits earned by the European trio from trading activities will most likely not be sufficient to balance the loss resulting from low price. It can be witnessed from BP’s quarterly loss of $4.4 billion, despite Mr. Gilvary’s comment about the company’s trading activities. Nevertheless, extra profits from trading will better position the three European companies to face the fallout from the rout in oil price.
With oil trading operations in major financial centers all over the world, the three European oil giants have a distinct advantage over competitors such as Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX), Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM), and Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA (ADR) (NYSE:PBR). The volume of oil and oil products traded by the three oil companies far outsize the volumes traded by the biggest independent commodity trading companies, including the likes of Vitol Group, Trafigura Beheer BV, Mercuria Energy Group, and Gunvor Group Ltd, Bloomberg reports.
BP, Shell, and Total should find some respite in the fact that independent oil trading companies are hopeful of a successful year in terms of earnings. Oil traders generally perform better amid low-price environment. As pointed by Bloomberg, Vitol Group nearly doubled earnings in 2009, after the 2008 financial crisis weighed down the oil price. Increased volatility allows traders to make a larger number of bets regarding the movement of oil price, and the prudent ones tend to gain from their positions. Furthermore, lower per barrel price make it less capital intensive to take trading positions.
Despite oil struggling to find its bottom, analysts and industry experts largely expect oil price to rebound. Positive future expectations have resulted in a situation termed “contango”, when spot price of a commodity is significantly lower than its future price. It allows major traders to buy oil today and sell at a future date when price recovers. Considering the volume of oil traded by the three European companies, the much-anticipated oil price rebound is very likely to magnify their eventual profits.
The three European companies are also involved in trading of refined products as well as petrochemicals, electricity, and natural gas. In addition to the oil and gas produced from their oilfields, they also buy commodities from the markets to reinforce their trading business.
According to data compiled by Bloomberg, the European trio, on average, trades as much as 15 million barrels of crude oil and refined products per day. With trading floors located in major cities all over the world, the three companies employ over 3,500 people to run their trading businesses.
Posted in: Bidness Etc, Bloomberg, BP, Oil Prices, OPEC, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Shell,Total.
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Shell cynically blocking action on climate change, says ex-diplomat

Shell cynically blocking action on climate change, says ex-diplomat

Mar 30th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-03-13 at 08.12.19From an article published by The Guardian on Monday 30 March 2015

Shell cynically blocking action on climate change, says ex-diplomat

Shell and its oil and gas peers are narcissistic, paranoid and psychopathic, and engaged in a cynical attempt to block action on global warming, according to the UK’s former climate change envoy.

In an open letter to Shell chief executive Ben van Beurden, John Ashton said the company’s promised transformation in response to climate change is in reality “a manifesto for the oil and gas status quo”.

Posted in: Ben van Beurden, Climate Change, Environment, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Shell.
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Revolutionary Peterhead carbon capture and storage project spearheaded by Shell

Revolutionary Peterhead carbon capture and storage project spearheaded by Shell
Mar 30th, 2015
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-03-30 at 12.22.15

Screen Shot 2015-01-06 at 21.26.38From an article by Joshua King published on 30 March 2015 by the Aberdeen Press & Journal under the headline:

Plans for revolutionary Peterhead energy project revealed

Extracts
Plans for a pioneering clean energy project in the north-east have been formally tabled with Aberdeenshire Council in a major milestone for the multimillion-pound scheme.
The carbon capture and storage (CCS) development planned for Peterhead Power Station could bring hundreds of jobs to the Buchan town and would be the first of its kind in the world.
Spearheaded by giant Shell, it involves pumping tens of millions of tonnes of harmful CO2 back into depleted North Sea gas wells, 62 miles offshore.
Last night, Shell’s project leader Bill Spence said: “Submitting the onshore environmental statement and planning application is the culmination of a huge amount of technical and design work by the whole Peterhead project team over the last year, informed by all of the feedback we have received through our three phases of public consultation. “We are pleased to have reached this milestone and are grateful to the local community for the level of interest and engagement we have seen.”
If backed by the UK Government and approved by Aberdeenshire Council, Peterhead Power Plant – managed by SSE – would become the first commercial scale gas-fired CCS project.”
Feedback from the public consultation meetings, as well as the detailed plans and costings, will be given to the government later this year in a bid for a portion of the £100million carbon capture investment pot.
The UK Government and Shell will then each decide whether to fund the scheme.

COMMENT ON THE ARTICLE RECEIVED FROM A REGULAR CONTRIBUTOR

i.e. How much will the government be willing to pay Shell to undertake this exercise? Numerous other similar projects have been proposed around Europe, but in the end the government subsidies were insufficient to justify the costs.
Posted in: Climate Change, Environment, Gas, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Shell.
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Sunday, March 29, 2015

Fractivists Bust Up Aquifer Exemption Workshop: Anatomy of an Action

SUNDAY, 29 MARCH 2015

don't frack


Fractivists Bust Up Aquifer Exemption Workshop: Anatomy of an Action

Lauren Steiner: To our surprise, the regulators didn’t try to shut us down. Security didn’t storm the room. None of the workshop attendees booed us. So we continued the same chant for three minutes.





MEXICAN CROWD


Mexico Exploding

Rudy Acuña: Americans cannot afford to keep looking at the region as a commodity. Mexicans and Latin Americans are not objects and a source of profit.

starry night


Science vs. Religion… or Science and Religion?

Claude Fischer:Religious Americans are not less knowledgeable about or supportive of science generally, “but may choose to interpret events in a religious light.”
televangelists


A New Era of Televangelists

Tina Dupuy: This recent phenomenon of “running for office” when really they’re sprinting for a book deal, TV show, or cinnamon-cure spokesman, has become its own commercial enterprise.
iran leaders


Iran Nuclear Sanctions and the Fate of the Nuclear Talks

Gareth Porter: The US and its allies have made no effort in hiding their intention to maintain the “sanctions architecture” in place for many years after a nuclear agreement



Fractivists Bust Up Aquifer Exemption Workshop: Anatomy of an Action

BY 
Aquifer Exemption WorkshopWe were twenty minutes into one of the most boring PowerPoint presentations I have ever seen. While we looked at “shaded areas of cross-sections of multiple productive zones of oil fields,” the regulator was droning on and on. You’d think I’d be nodding off. But no, my heart was beating and my palms were sweating. I was about to do one of the boldest actions I have done since becoming an activist three and a half years ago.
Professionally dressed in a sedate gray dress and heels, I was seconds away from disrupting something called an “aquifer exemption workshop” led by DOOGR — the Division of Oil, Gas and Geothermal Regulation –the very state agency that recently had been exposed for illegally allowing oil companies to inject toxic fracking wastewater into 2500 wells near California aquifers.
Since learning about the horrific practice of hydro-fracturing, commonly known as fracking three years ago, I have signed petitions, lobbied legislators, attended and organized rallies and spoken at conferences and on the radio. I even led a statewide petition campaign in 2013 that garnered 20,000 signatures. It asked a state senator to withdraw her weak fracking regulatory bill and fight for a ban instead. I wrote about it earlier here. The senator did not listen; and a year after the legislation was passed, as predicted, it was being ignored.
We found out about this “aquifer exemption workshop” where the regulators would outline “the data requirements and process for requesting an aquifer exemption under the Safe Drinking Water Act,” so Big Oil could continue to pollute our drinking water. Californians Against Fracking, a coalition of over 200 organizations in the state, was planning to do a demonstration outside the workshop. But some of us wanted to go one step further and actually disrupt the meeting.
I have been inspired by the work of Kevin Zeese and Margaret Flowers, from PopularResistance.org, who have been disrupting governmental hearings in the nation’s capital ever since 2009 when Margaret was arrested in the Senate Finance Committee hearing on healthcare after she stood up to condemn the chairman for not having any single-payer advocates in the room. Their recent work to preserve Net neutrality and fight the Trans-Pacific Partnership  has been particularly creative. I have also long admired the work of Medea Benjamin and the fearless activists of Code Pink. Last month they got inches away from putting handcuffs on war criminal Dick Cheney at a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing. While I had pointed my finger into the nose of an LAPD officer who stopped me from leading a Net neutrality march two blocks from the site of an Obama fundraiser last year, I had never done anything that bold. So it didn’t take me too long to tell the group that I was on board.
Aquifer Exemption WorkshopIn trying to recruit other disruptors, I felt very mysterious emailing and Facebook messaging five other activists asking them to call me about something important. I didn’t want to put anything in writing on the Internet. Having organized four protests at Obama fundraisers and having stupidly shown my license to Hillary Clinton’s Secret Service agent while leading a Not Ready for Hillary protest last year, I assume “they” are watching me. It may be wishful thinking, but I imagine they are less likely to be listening in on my actual phone conversations than they are monitoring my email and Facebook page.
We had an organizing call the night before the workshop where we determined the plan of action. After discussing several scenarios, we decided that we would scatter around the room. That way if security tried to drag us out, it would take them longer to get every one of us; and by then, we would have finished delivering the message we had scripted out. We were told that a room had been rented in the Long Beach Holiday Inn where the workshop was. So we all agreed to meet there the next morning to rehearse.
Arriving at the hotel two hours before the workshop was to begin, I was pleasantly surprised to see how well we activists had “cleaned up” dressed in our best professional business attire. It was decided that Susan, a local Long Beach resident, would be the first to interrupt by asking the innocent question: “What is this workshop all about?” And then the disarming zinger: “Is it to teach them how to continue to poison our water?”
A few minutes later I would chime in. Right after that, Alicia would pull out two bottles of “frack water,” bring them to the regulators and ask them if they would drink it. Then Antonietta would shout out. “This must stop.” We would all stand up and echo her. As Alex Nagy from Food and Water Watch and Elizabeth Lerer, a grassroots activist, unfurled our banner which said “Gov Brown, Stop Letting Big Oil Poison Our Water,” Hamid would deliver a pink slip to the regulators and tell them they were all fired. We would close by reciting in unison a manifesto of how “we the people” would not allow them to continue to poison our water and then start chanting until they hauled us out of there.
Clark Davis from thesyndicate.info media collective would videotape. Lou Noble, from Peoples Media By the Peoples, would livestream. Lorraine from Occupy Venice would shoot stills. And Walker Foley from Food and Water Watch would liaise with the cops. We agreed that as soon as he raised his fist, it would be time to leave. It was decided by consensus that this was not to be an arrestable action. We rehearsed it several times with Revolutionary Poet Antonietta advising us where to pause, and Walker played the regulator. He had us in stiches talking randomly about his golf game instead of regulations. After a few run-throughs, we high- fived ourselves. It was tight.
But there were some uncertainties. What if we had to sign in? Would we use our real names or would we make up identities. Walker became Trevor Jones from Entek, a small Colorado energy company looking into the Los Angeles market. I decided to be a law student from a nearby law school. I don’t know what other people decided, because it was time to go downstairs. We each went down separately and agreed not to talk to each other when we went in.

To our surprise, the regulators didn’t try to shut us down. Security didn’t storm the room. None of the workshop attendees booed us. So we continued the same chant for three minutes.

Our worries were in vain. There was no sign in table and no security. The few CHP officers on the premises were outside monitoring the protest on the street. We walked right in and assumed our places being very intent not to look at each other. A man on my right looked at me and said, “I know you. You’re Lauren.” I couldn’t place him. But I mumbled under my breath, “You don’t know me.” “Yes, I do,” he said. “No, you don’t,” I said. And that was that. I don’t know what I was anticipating. I was just focused on not blowing my cover. This cloak and dagger stuff was exciting.
Everything went as planned. Susan asked her question. The regulator responded that there would be time for questions afterward. Then a couple minutes later, I stood up. “”I’m sorry. I just have to say one thing. This is backwards. It was just announced in the news that industry injected 2,500 wells illegally, and DOGGR admitted they didn’t know this was going on. Shouldn’t you be having a workshop on how to stop that instead of how to get around, to get exempt from these regulations?”
lauren-steiner-moreThe presenter responded, “Actually, we have a compliance agreement with EPA that we will discuss as part of the presentation. I really would prefer that people not interrupt the presentation. This is not about having a protest when we’re trying to get something accomplished.”
Now it was Alicia’s turn. “I actually brought some poisoned water to show everyone what we’re going to be exposed to and forced to drink if this poisoning of our water by our regulators continues.” She approached the podium and placed the bottles in front of the regulators. “Would you feel like drinking this water?”
“Excuse me, ma’am, we will have…” the official started to say. “Excuse me. Try this water and tell us if you feel like drinking the water that you are polluting for our children, and for us, and that you have been allowing for so long! You are the regulators.” Antoinetta pipes in: “This needs to stop.” Everybody stands up: “This needs to stop,” we shout in unison.
Cue Hamid: “You are our regulators. You are have violated your mission. We hereby serve you your pink slip. Thank you” He placed the paper down and led us in this recitation: “We, the people of California, fire you from your post. Shame on you, for colluding with Big Oil, to poison our aquifers. In this year of record drought, in this era of a warming climate, it is reprehensible that you are teaching them how to exploit our laws to poison our water!”
“Our aquifers are not toxic waste dumps!” shouted Mark Lipman from the back of the room. Then we chanted over and over:
“One, we are the people!
Two, you can’t ignore us!
Three, we will not let you
poi- son our wa-ter!”
Aquifer Exemption WorkshopHad we anticipated we would be allowed to go on for so long, we probably would have come up with more chants. One woman approached Alex and told her we had to leave. But Alex just smiled and kept chanting. The woman then tried to reason with Hamid.
After the hotel officials left the conference room, presumably to call the cops, Mark started another chant “Shame on you!” punctuated with Alicia calling out, “The regulators!”
As two uniformed police officers entered, I decided to start a new chant, “Ban fracking now!” Then Walker raised his fist. We all raised our fists and started filing out, all the while chanting our final message:
“Water can’t be poisoned for private wealth.
We will fight for our children’s health!”
Once outside the room, we chanted,
“Shame on you! We’ll be back!”
After the room quieted inside, one conference attendee remarked, “They take our water seriously!” The man delivering the presentation responded, “So do we, we take your water seriously too.”
Obviously this is not the case; as DOGGR admitted to wrongly issuing about 500 permits for waste disposal wells that violate both federal and state law. However, the state has shut down just 23 of the hundreds of illegal wells that have dumped billions of gallons of hazardous oil waste into protected aquifers. More than 2,000 enhanced oil recovery wells are also operating illegally in protected aquifers.
Up to half of California wells are fracked. Oil companies’ own tests show high levels of cancer-causing benzene in flowback fluid from fracked wells in California. Those tests, mandated by a new fracking disclosure law, found benzene at levels as high as 1,500 times the federal limits for drinking water. Those documents also show that fracking flowback is typically disposed of in wastewater injection wells.
Produced water, which comes from fracked wells and conventional wells alike, also can contain high levels of benzene and other chemicals. State oil officials’ own study detected levels thousands of times the federal limits. In California, roughly 113 billion gallons of produced water is dumped into wastewater disposal wells each month.
After the illegal aquifer dumping was revealed earlier this year, more than 150 environmental and community groups filed a legal petition urging Gov. Brown to use his emergency powers to place a moratorium on fracking and other well stimulation techniques. And just last week, eight California legislators sent a letter to Governor Brown asking him to immediately shut down all injection wells.


After we left the hotel, we joined up with the activists on the street who were chanting “Governor Brown, It’s not too late. Protect the water of our state.” We had a de-brief of our action, talking about what worked and what we could have done better. But by and large, we were all pretty pleased with what we had accomplished. The only downside was there was no mainstream media there to share our wonderful action with the people of California. So we rushed off to edit videos, write articles and do our magic on social media
You can watch the video of our inside disruption here and the video of the outside protest here.
lauren-steiner-2014Last weekend, on “Meet the Press,” Jerry Brown said despite the drought, despite the fact that a NASA scientist said there is only one year’s worth of water left in our reservoirs, and despite the fact that fracking and other extreme extraction processes use two millions of gallons of fresh water a day, he saw no reason to ban fracking. It may be time to ramp up our tactics. Who knows? My next article might be about us chaining ourselves to an oil derrick.
Lauren Steiner
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Shell delays Australian drilling plans as crude oil prices dive

Shell delays Australian drilling plans as crude oil prices dive

Mar 29th, 2015 
by John Donovan. 
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Screen Shot 2015-01-12 at 08.45.23From an article by Angela Macdonald-Smith published Monday 30 March 2015 in the Sydney Morning Herald:

Royal Dutch Shell delays WA drilling plans as crude oil price dives

Extracts
Royal Dutch Shell’s delay of the drilling of a $100 million-plus exploration well off Australia’s north-west coast is the latest example of modified plans in the wake of the plunge in crude oil prices, which sources say have driven some companies to renege on work commitments.
Shell’s Cronus-1 well was due to start drilling this quarter in the Browse Basin, targeting a large gas discovery, but the well has been put back until later in 2015. Wells by Japan’s Inpex Corporation and Santos planned off Western Australia’s coast have also been deferred recently, while several others have sought modifications to permit terms to allow them to cancel or delay work.
However, a Shell spokesman rejected the suggestion the company had put off drilling Cronus because of the drop in prices, although he couldn’t give a reason for the delay.
Posted in: Australia, Gas, Oil, Oil Prices, Royal Dutch Shell Plc.
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SHELL CIRCUMVENTED RA 7641

SYNDICATED ESTAFA


MY QUEST FOR SWINDLED 

RETIREMENT PAY BY SHELL



SWINDLING ITO, SYNDICATED ESTAFA


HOT PURSUIT
DUTY OF LAW ENFORCEMENT ENTITIES


SHELL SWINDLING OF RETIREMENT PAY 5TH YEAR

1001counts
SEE BELOW FOR THE 1001ST   TIME THE REITERATION OF DEMAND PAYMENT OF RETIREMENT PAY WHICH SHELL REFUSED TO HONOR IN THE PRESENCE AND DEEMED APPROVAL OF THE HONORABLE MAGISTRATES OF THE SUPREME COURT OF THE PHILIPPINES

GEUS_15MAR16_66th FOLLOW UP_REITERATION

OF DEMAND  PAYMENT OF RETIREMENT PAY
Dishonest scales are an abomination to the Lord, but a just weight is His delight... Proverbs Chapter 11  v. 1
Retirement Pay Law circumvented by Shell subject to penal provision provided for by Article 288 of the Labor Code of the Philippines.





CONTENTS

.ENTERTAINMENT (4) 10 CCR § 2695.5 (1) 18DEC15 (112) 1A_MEDIA (8) 2014 CHRISTMAS MESSAGE (1) 2015 Miss Universe (1) 2016 SONA (1) 2020 EXCLUSION (1) 4TH OF JULY (1) abante clipping (1) ABOLITION OF THE COURT OF APPEALS (1) ABRAHAM LINCOLN (1) ABS-CBN (5) ABS-CBN NEWS (6) ABSOLUTE PARDON (1) ABU SAYAFF GROUP (2) ABUSE OF JURISDICTION (1) ACADEMIC FREEDOM (1) ACCRA (19) ACE VEDA (2) ACKNOWLEDGMENT OF EMAIL RECEIPT (2) aclu (3) AIRPORT HACKS (1) AIRWAVES (1) AIZA SEGUERRA (1) ALAN PETER CAYETANO (4) ALBAYALDE (8) ALBERTO ROMULO (1) ALDEN AND MAINE (1) Alfred Clayton (55) ALLEGATIONS OF MISCONDUCT (4) ALTERNET (6) ALVAREZ (1) ALVIN CUDIA (2) ALYAS BIKOY (1) AMADO VALDEZ (1) ANARCHY (1) ANDRES BONIFACIO (2) ANGEL LAZARO (1) ANGELO REYES (1) ANNEX 5 (5) ANNUAL REMINDERS (1) ANTHONY TABERNA . 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